Let’s discuss 20/21 Crop Development.
Sidama: we are indeed expecting a good crop and harvesting started early October.
Yirgacheffe: as in Sidama we are expecting greatly improved crop in 20/21 vs 19/20, harvesting will start later in November/December.
Guji: Harvesting has also started here, and Vertical Integration is very intense in this region leading to increased price competition and substantial investments in Washing Stations and processing capacity in general.
South Western Region
In Kaffa, Bench Maji and Tepi farmers have been harvesting since September and the crop is down as much as 40% in some areas. The crop has been affected by CBD by as much as 8% in Tepi. In the South West this is an off-cycle year so a decline in production is expected.
Jimma: The crop is expected a tad higher to 19/20, with some parts of the region slowing a substantial increase in production. There has been very little crop expansion in Jimma in the past 12 months.
Ilubablor: we are expecting a higher crop in 2020 vs 2019, the crop will only start to be picked in November.
Wellega: A sharp increase in production expected in 2020 vs 2019, as a consequence of good weather conditions and a more peaceful circumstances in this region. Harvesting will only commence in December and farmers are still holding some stocks from the 2019 crop.
Generally speaking there is little to no coffee in the hands of farmers and even agrabes are well sold as a consequence of the lower 19/20 harvest and good prices at ECX.
Current cherry prices are very high, a reflection of internal competition, as follows (kg cherry):
Sidamo : 18 to 20 Birr
Guji: 25 Birr
Limu: 21 Birr
Forex rate: 37.34 Birr to the USD
Have a good weekend!